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CRYPTO: Has the Fire Gone Out?

May 13, 2022 By E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy

In The Wall Street Journal, Peter Santilli and Corrie Driebusch write that "Last year cryptocurrencies were on fire and appeared to gain more legitimacy after years of being considered a fringe, speculative product." In the last six months, crypto has lost $1 trillion in market value. It's fair to ask, has the fire gone out? Santilli and Driebusch write: In November, bitcoin and ethereum, two of the most popular cryptocurrencies, reached all-time highs. Bitcoin’s value at 5 p.m. on Nov. 9 was $67,802.30; ethereum was worth $4,800. They are now down 58% and 60%, respectively, from those … [Read more...]

STABLECOIN DEATH SPIRAL? TerraUSD Becomes Terra0.5USD Overnight

May 11, 2022 By E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy

A selloff is currently hitting cryptocurrencies, and one, in particular, is beginning to look like an emperor with no clothes. TerraUSD, a so-called "stablecoin," because of its purported peg to the dollar at 1 to 1, has lost around half its value overnight. The loss was so great, according to industry analysts, that it could even enter what's known as a "death spiral." According to The Wall Street Journal, TerraUSD uses " financial engineering to maintain its link to the dollar." Does that sound very "stable," to you? Caitlin Ostroff and Elaine Yu explain the breakdown, writing: The … [Read more...]

DIGITAL GOLD? Bitcoin-Stock Correlation Heightens, Frightening Investors

January 21, 2022 By E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy

Your Survival Guy is no fan of cryptos especially with actors like Matt Damon cashing in where you invest, but they win. Now the price of bitcoin has dropped below $40,000 as it becomes increasingly correlated to the performance of tech stocks. The Wall Street Journal's Caitlin Ostroff reports: It is becoming a more common occurrence: When stocks fall, so does bitcoin. Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market value, fell below $38,000 Friday to its lowest dollar value since August 2021, according to CoinDesk. It later regained some ground and was trading at $38,705.70, down … [Read more...]

Where Will Bitcoin Go Next? The Moon, or the Basement?

December 6, 2021 By E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy

Your Survival Guy is not in the predictions business. Trying to calculate what someone else will pay for an asset at a future date is something best left to oracles and seers. Buying something and hoping someone else will buy it at a higher price is speculation, not investing. But you're asking me about Bitcoin, so I'm watching it, though not with the intention of buying. I like the blockchain technology that underlies cryptocurrencies, but am wary of the currencies themselves. Here's what Patricia Kowsmann wrote about the recent plunge in bitcoin prices in The Wall Street Journal: Bitcoin … [Read more...]

BLACKROCK’S BITCOIN-ESG PARADOX: You Can’t Have It All

October 27, 2021 By E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy

You know that you can't have it all. You can't say one thing and do another. That's the fastest way to break the trust of the people around you. You know BlackRock has been selling environmental, social, and governance (ESG) funds, promising investors they'll change the world by lowering greenhouse gas emissions. It's all a game to charge higher fees for funds, and to drive the EGOs of those in charge. But what you won't see anything about in the glossy ESG brochures is BlackRock's investments in bitcoin mining. That's because mining bitcoin is energy-intensive, generating massive amounts … [Read more...]

THE NEXT BIG SHORT: Paulson Predicts Crypto Will Go to Zero

August 31, 2021 By E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy

You may remember hedge fund manager John Paulson from the movie The Big Short. He was the one that couldn’t believe what was happening in the real estate market and believed the system would implode. He was right. Now he’s dead against cryptocurrencies, much like Your Survival Guy. In a recent interview with Bloomberg's David Rubenstein, Paulson described cryptocurrencies as "a limited supply of nothing."  He also predicted the speculative asset would go to zero. The NY Post reports: Hedge fund manager John Paulson made $20 billion predicting the downfall of the US housing market in 2008. … [Read more...]

The Biden Administration is Coming for Crypto Freedom

August 5, 2021 By E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy

The Biden administration, led by SEC Chairman Gary Gensler, and cheered on by progressives in the Senate like Liz Warren, are beginning an assault of crypto-currency freedom. The Wall Street Journal's Dave Michaels and Alexander Osipovich report: Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Gary Gensler this week declared war on what he called the Wild West of crypto trading, promising a vigorous attack on fraud and misconduct. But progress is likely to be more piecemeal and incremental than wholesale and sudden. Mr. Gensler outlined his desire to regulate digital assets such as bitcoin and … [Read more...]

Boom! Bitcoin, Cryptos, Value, You, & Big Money

May 27, 2021 By E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy

You’re asking me what I think of bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. I’m telling you, I love the idea of blockchain. But what about value? That’s more a function of what someone’s willing to pay. Not me, of course, but it’s somewhat irrelevant. How big can cryptocurrencies get? I don’t know. Big, I guess. But I don’t need to be the first one at the party. I certainly won’t be the last, or the last one to leave. Let this play out. Remember the Gold Rush? A lot of money was made investing in the rush itself and not just the yellow metal. I like the idea of utilizing the benefits of the new. In … [Read more...]

Gov. Ron DeSantis Stands Up Against Big Tech Censorship

May 25, 2021 By E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy

Florida's Governor Ron DeSantis has signed a bill into law that will protect Floridians from deplatforming and censorship by social media networks and other big tech companies. The Wall Street Journal reports: Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis signed a bill on Monday aimed at making big tech platforms more accountable for their content decisions, a move with political overtones that appeared likely to draw legal challenges. Mr. DeSantis, a potential GOP presidential contender with ties to former President Donald Trump, said the legislation could help conservatives defend themselves from unfair … [Read more...]

Mark Cuban and the Bull Case for Blockchain

May 24, 2021 By E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy

In the Wall Street Journal, Andy Kessler interviews Mark Cuban, owner of the Dallas Mavericks, a "shark" from the reality TV show Shark Tank, and a self-made tech billionaire. Kessler, whose work I have been reading for years, takes Cuban through an examination of cryptocurrencies and blockchain, and of where the value lies. Kessler writes: “Weather insurance (Arbol is a great example). With a smart contract I’m soon going to be able to have the Mavs buy weather insurance where using a smart contract I pick the temperature and precipitation thresholds and the smart contract checks the … [Read more...]

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