My RAGE Gauge is in, and it isn't good. All month Your Survival Guy monitors risk in America, and there's one that far outweighs the others. That's a miscalculation by the Federal Reserve. For years the Fed has jumped from one unprecedented policy to another, reacting to each move of the market like it's putting a candle out with a firehose. Now the Fed is driving up rates and, for the first time in history, creating a sustained decline in the M2 money supply. You've seen what's going on in the banking system. The Fed's moves are uncovering its bad actors. The risk is that there are too … [Read more...]
April RAGE Gauge: A Private Spa Not the Public Pool
OK, my latest RAGE Gauge is in, and it’s not pretty. What did you expect me to say? The black swan isn’t gone for the season. Hardly. But, with interest rates you can sink your teeth into, it’s time to get your banking life in order. Look at the yield curve below and see what I’m talking about. Get your lazy cash off the couch. Get it working for you. No more banker’s hours. As you can see, we’re in the midst of a generational opportunity in bonds. As Your Survival Guy, I want you off the bench and in the game. Don’t let crusaders for the “perfect” get in your way. Inertia is a terrible … [Read more...]
March RAGE Gauge: Will the Black Swan Usher in Digital Dollars?
What’s most disturbing about a black swan event is how it affects the rest of us. What will this non-bailout, bailout of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature usher in? Will we have a new way of banking where the Fed gets to call the shots? Will digital dollars be their way to control us? Risk perception is once again pegged to the maximum on my RAGE Gauge. Is it any wonder? War in Europe, inflation at home, the potential for a rerun of the global banking crisis that happened in 2008 and was supposed to be a "once in a century" event. And the government wants you to believe that digitization of … [Read more...]
February RAGE Gauge: How Will YOU Feel in Retirement?
You can feel the tension. Americans are not happy, and they see the mounting risks facing them in the future. My RAGE Gauge, a measure of risk in America, has been pegged at the maximum for a long time now, and it's hard to see that changing anytime soon. Faced with inflation, the prospect of nuclear war, a flood of illegal immigration, and crime spiking to rates not seen in decades, is it any wonder Americans are worried? One of the biggest worries Americans face is what they'll do about retirement. If this was forwarded to you. Join the club. Sign Up here for my weekly email. OK. … [Read more...]
December RAGE Gauge: Government About to Ration Vehicle Use, Appliances Next
My December Rage Gauge is in, and what can I tell you? The main takeaway is sales of guns and gold are up. Perhaps Americans are looking for ways to avoid government control of their lives and money. It's certainly not easy. Take a look at what's happening with electric vehicles. You have read regularly here on Your Survival Guy about the intense surveillance and control available to governments in the digital. It creates a "virtual Panopticon," in which residents can be continuously monitored. An outgrowth of that digital reach is the ability via smart grid technology to turn on or turn … [Read more...]
November RAGE Gauge: Live a Life of Balance, Especially in Your Investments
A balanced portfolio is far from dead. It keeps you in the game, so you don’t have to time the market. Yesterday was the biggest one-day percentage gain for stocks since the depths of Covid and the biggest one-day plunge in 2 and 10-year treasury bond yields in over a decade (remember, when rates fall, bond prices increase). You don’t want to be in the prediction business. Markets are in the business of making winners and losers daily. I want you to focus on investing to earn dividends and interest. Let the prices do what they do—I don’t need to be in the rah, rah, rah business. This is … [Read more...]
October RAGE Gauge: Americans Facing Crime, Inflation, and Energy Shortages
Americans are not resting easy as the country heads into colder months facing rising crime, rising prices, and the potential for energy shortages. The perception of risk in America is perhaps the highest it's been in decades, maybe since 9/11/2001. Crime Wave You have watched since 2020 as crime has spiked throughout America's big cities, and beyond. Americans haven't forgotten who was cheering on the rioters and looters that summer, and who has been urging for criminals' no-bail release from jail ever since. The Daily Caller reports that 64% of Americans blame "woke politicians," for the … [Read more...]
September RAGE Gauge: Kiss Monetary Discipline Goodbye
Your Survival Guy’s latest RAGE Gauge is in and, you guessed it, it’s not pretty. This is beginning to get old. But here’s the deal. As long as there’s fiscal recklessness and radicalism in Washington you can kiss monetary discipline goodbye. Because no matter what the Fed does, without some discipline in Washington it’s going to be a constant swim upstream. And that’s exactly how Americans are feeling. My advice is simple. Protect what you make. Follow Your Survival Guy’s Four Ways to Wealth below: Your Survival Guy’s four ways to your wealth are: Let your money hibernate Work … [Read more...]
August RAGE Gauge: Americans Fighting Through Fear to Push On
One look at my RAGE Gauge can tell you that Americans are uneasy. They are afraid of government ineptitude and corruption. That fear is translating into anxiety, stress, and risk avoidance. Is it any wonder Americans are losing faith in their government? With inflation running so high Americans are forced to search for salvaged food they can afford and with no answers forthcoming from the Biden administration, it’s easy to understand the stress. Meanwhile, businesses are preparing for violence caused by food shortages, and the top executive of a major American grocery business says … [Read more...]
July RAGE Gauge: How to Invest Now for a Five Year Window
OK, my latest RAGE Gauge is in, and it’s not pretty. What’d you expect me to say? Dissatisfaction with the direction of America is at lows not usually met EVER. Gun sales are up probably due to gun control legislation being pushed even after the Supreme Court’s recent pro-gun decision. Employment is up. If you want a job, you can get one. Gold hasn’t moved much, probably because of dollar strength (for now) and rising rates. Remember, this is a competition between asset classes. All in all, not a great feel to be kind. On the rough and tumble streets of Newport, RI, it’s busy but not crazy … [Read more...]
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