You’ll get your first view of U.S. third-quarter economic growth this week. The U.S. economy advanced at a pathetic 1.1% rate through the first half of the year. The Atlanta Fed cut its estimate to 2.4% from 2.8%. In any event, looking at an eighth straight quarter of growth below 3% is not very exciting. I like to think about GDP at the basic level, as though it’s a paycheck. Imagine two workers, A and B over their 40-year careers. If A can increase his salary by 4%, then after 40-years he will have increased it five times vs worker B’s doubling it after growing at only 2%. Time, and a … [Read more...]

We are often asked why we like Vanguard and Fidelity. Below is an excerpt from the February 2014 issue of Richard C. Young's Intelligence Report in which Dick Young explains his history with Jack Bogle, founder of the Vanguard Group. As we all know, there is only one Vanguard. P.P.S. In 2014, investors poured $216 billion into the Vanguard Group, which today is #1 in index-tracking products. I have been with Vanguard from the start. Vanguard founder Jack Bogle was at Wellington Management back in the early seventies in Boston. Wellington was an institutional account of mine in the years I was … [Read more...]

Nearly a third of Millennials back the idea of socialism, and fewer than half support capitalism. That's terrifying for the future of this country! But there is evidence to suggest that Millennials simply don't know very much about either concept. Using more descriptive labels like "free-market system" and "government-managed economy," in place of capitalism and socialism respectively, Millenials were much more likely to choose free markets over government. Christopher Koopman explains the distressing story here in The Wall Street Journal. For many, capitalism isn’t about free enterprise, nor … [Read more...]

October is Cyber Security awareness month. There's probably no online account more important for you to protect than your retirement nest egg. It's your life's savings, and everything you've been working toward for decades. See here how Vanguard protects clients' data and accounts from cyber attack. … [Read more...]

October is National Cyber Security Awareness Month, which I discovered logging in to my account this morning at Fidelity Investments. I thought you’d like to read their recommendations. The easiest part of protecting yourself is choosing a rugged, unique password. By rugged I mean a password that isn't something easily guessed by a hacker's word-list. Examples of easily guessed passwords that are used often are things like "password," "1234," "default," or "1111." Read more below from Fidelity about protecting your accounts with a strong password. Do not reuse passwords Make sure you use … [Read more...]

Your investment success/survival is a series of smart decisions. For example, using a chip-enabled ATM and/or credit card bolsters your line of defense against cyber attacks. On our recent trip to Paris I was reminded how far ahead Europe is when it comes to chip readers. They are the norm—as you insert your card into the portable reader that they bring to your table. But that’s not the case here in the U.S. where waiters take your card from you (possibly copying it) and it’s swiped without you being present. Chip tech in the U.S. is becoming more prevalent, but can still be a slow process. … [Read more...]

My friend Chris Edwards has done an exhaustive analysis of the trends in state spending, and the performance of the governors of each state. Apart from his ranking of the governors, what struck me in his report "FISCAL POLICY REPORT CARD ON AMERICA’S GOVERNORS 2016," was the frightening trend of increased spending in state budgets. Edwards writes: Figure 1 shows state general fund spending since 2000, based on data from the National Association of State Budget Officers.2 Spending soared between 2002 and 2008, and then it fell during the recession as states trimmed their budgets.3 Spending has … [Read more...]