A balanced portfolio is far from dead. It keeps you in the game, so you don’t have to time the market. Yesterday was the biggest one-day percentage gain for stocks since the depths of Covid and the biggest one-day plunge in 2 and 10-year treasury bond yields in over a decade (remember, when rates fall, bond prices increase). You don’t want to be in the prediction business. Markets are in the business of making winners and losers daily. I want you to focus on investing to earn dividends and interest. Let the prices do what they do—I don’t need to be in the rah, rah, rah business. This is … [Read more...]
October RAGE Gauge: Americans Facing Crime, Inflation, and Energy Shortages
Americans are not resting easy as the country heads into colder months facing rising crime, rising prices, and the potential for energy shortages. The perception of risk in America is perhaps the highest it's been in decades, maybe since 9/11/2001. Crime Wave You have watched since 2020 as crime has spiked throughout America's big cities, and beyond. Americans haven't forgotten who was cheering on the rioters and looters that summer, and who has been urging for criminals' no-bail release from jail ever since. The Daily Caller reports that 64% of Americans blame "woke politicians," for the … [Read more...]
September RAGE Gauge: Kiss Monetary Discipline Goodbye
Your Survival Guy’s latest RAGE Gauge is in and, you guessed it, it’s not pretty. This is beginning to get old. But here’s the deal. As long as there’s fiscal recklessness and radicalism in Washington you can kiss monetary discipline goodbye. Because no matter what the Fed does, without some discipline in Washington it’s going to be a constant swim upstream. And that’s exactly how Americans are feeling. My advice is simple. Protect what you make. Follow Your Survival Guy’s Four Ways to Wealth below: Your Survival Guy’s four ways to your wealth are: Let your money hibernate Work … [Read more...]
August RAGE Gauge: Americans Fighting Through Fear to Push On
One look at my RAGE Gauge can tell you that Americans are uneasy. They are afraid of government ineptitude and corruption. That fear is translating into anxiety, stress, and risk avoidance. Is it any wonder Americans are losing faith in their government? With inflation running so high Americans are forced to search for salvaged food they can afford and with no answers forthcoming from the Biden administration, it’s easy to understand the stress. Meanwhile, businesses are preparing for violence caused by food shortages, and the top executive of a major American grocery business says … [Read more...]
July RAGE Gauge: How to Invest Now for a Five Year Window
OK, my latest RAGE Gauge is in, and it’s not pretty. What’d you expect me to say? Dissatisfaction with the direction of America is at lows not usually met EVER. Gun sales are up probably due to gun control legislation being pushed even after the Supreme Court’s recent pro-gun decision. Employment is up. If you want a job, you can get one. Gold hasn’t moved much, probably because of dollar strength (for now) and rising rates. Remember, this is a competition between asset classes. All in all, not a great feel to be kind. On the rough and tumble streets of Newport, RI, it’s busy but not crazy … [Read more...]
June RAGE Gauge: Hunker Down, Avoid Stupid Mistakes
Good morning from Your Survival Guy. Are we having fun yet? Listen, markets are brutal. It’s why I’ve cautioned you from the beginning to focus on keeping what you make and not hoping for markets to do something for you. Now is a perfect time to be reminded of the words of wisdom of the late great Jack Bogle, founder of Vanguard: "Don’t just do something, stand there.” And yet, the pressure to do something continues to grind away at participants, forcing them to sell so they can sleep or to stop the question: “How much are we down now?” When will it stop? When the selling stops. When … [Read more...]
RAGE GAUGE: INVESTOR CARNAGE—Losing Control of Your Money
If you’re feeling like you’re losing control of your money, there may be some truth to that. Do you want your investments used as a tool to invest in other people’s political agendas? When it comes to ESG and BlackRock, for example, that’s exactly what’s happening. Through their mutual funds and ETFs, you’re part of their political crusade. But being part of their political crusade probably isn’t one of the reasons you invested with them to begin with. No offense to BlackRock, but this is about your agenda—your retirement. Why would you waste your time with mutual funds when they’re … [Read more...]
April RAGE Gauge: The Separation of States Predicted
You can see with your own eyes the separation of states. This isn't Lincoln's Civil War; it's the virtual war of our times. Never in our lifetime has the crossing of borders from blue state to red meant so much for one's freedom. Look at the outcomes from COVID and how it was handled across red states vs. blue. The red states won by a landslide. The Wall Street Journal's editorial board writes: The nearby table shows the state ranking based on a combined score of the three variables. Utah ranks first by a considerable margin over Nebraska and Vermont. The Beehive State scored well across all … [Read more...]
March RAGE Gauge Is In: STICK TO YOUR PLAN
OK Your Survival Guy’s March RAGE Gauge is in. It’s time to stick to your plan, not jump to conclusions you hear from some guy with a website. Risk is high, interest rates are low. Need to get away? Do what Your Survival Guy does and go to summer camp in March. Your Survival Guy’s Key West Summer Camp in MARCH OK, Your Survival Guy just got back from a Key West summer camp in March, and it was awesome. Look, it’s been a crazy couple of years for all of us with this Covid debacle, and we all need to step back and ask, “what the heck just happened?” We all need a break. I hope … [Read more...]
February RAGE Gauge: Biden Backed Criminals on the Street
OK, Your Survival Guy’s latest RAGE Gauge is in. Let’s dig into it. What stands out immediately is the decline in gun background checks, my favored proxy for final sales. Americans, no longer flush with government handouts, are not buying guns at the pace they were at this time last year, or even last month for that matter. Does that mean we live in a safer country, a conclusion only a George Soros NYC DA would consider? Hardly. Bad guys will always get their guns. But it tells you something about Americans’ expectations of Joe Biden that they spent so many of their stimulus dollars on arming … [Read more...]
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