You can tell a lot about states based on its real estate market. Are people moving in or out? Are prices rising or falling? How are the schools? Is this someplace families want to raise their children? These are all questions that have answers that point to more complicated underlying trends. Your Survival Guy has created the Super States ranking to show you where state governments are looking out for constituents and where they are only looking out for their own political interests. During the last four years, a wave of Americans have made the decision to move away from the big blue blob cities to places offering better opportunities for their families and businesses. The reasons are explained pretty well by the comments of Bruce Allison, a real estate agent from Georgia, who explained to Realtor.com’s Kiri Blakeley, “Property values are protected in well-governed, pro-growth, pro-business states that are tough on crime. Increasingly, those are red states.”
Blakeley explains to readers that the wave of new arrivals has many long-time red-state residents hoping they won’t bring their politics with them. Blakeley writes:
“Red-state residents don’t care for people coming from blue states,” says Cara Ameer, who sells real estate in two of the most important states in the great 2020 migration—California and Florida. “I have seen resentment in Florida with slogans like ‘Don’t Fauci My Florida.’”
She adds that political leanings tend to play a larger role in home selection than people realize, telling the story of a client who changed her mind about an area simply based on front lawn political signage. But Ameer says conservative locals are more accepting provided the newcomers “don’t bring their politics with them.”
“Some appreciate the influx of new residents as it can boost the local economy and bring in new perspectives,” Rhoads says. “Others, however, are concerned about the potential impact on their communities and the possible changes in political dynamics.”
Why blue-state homebuyers may not be so blue after all
Red-state Republicans might not have much to fear, however. For one, new arrivals might very likely have moved to get away from not only higher home prices and higher taxes, but blue politics, too.“Blue-state in-migrants to red states should have a slight liberalizing effect on the politics of those states,” says Ruy Teixeira, senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute. “But these in-migrants on average are probably more conservative than the average voter in the blue states they are leaving.”
He notes that two of the most popular states with the blue state migrants, Florida and Texas, are not swing states.
“In-migrants just can’t do much to have a meaningful effect” in those states, he says.
“As for Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada, given how they’re trending toward [Donald] Trump, it’s also hard to see these in-migrants having an important effect on the outcome,” he adds. “Oddly, the Rust Belt swing states are where things could be really, really close, but that tends to not be where [blue-staters] are going.”
In fact, according to agents, plenty of Golden Staters relocated not just because of California’s record-breaking home prices and high taxes, but also its uber-liberal politics.
“I have had countless clients sell their homes in California specifically to escape the political environment here,” says Sam Fitz-Simon of Compass in Danville, CA.
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E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy
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