Your Survival Guy

Preparing your investments and family for when disaster strikes.

Disclosure

  • Home
  • Your Survival
    • Your Survival Guy’s Super States
    • EMP Threat
    • Tucker Explains
    • Newport Gas Outage
    • Water
      • Emergency Water Storage
      • Let There Be Water
    • Get Your Gun and Your Training Now
    • Satellite Phones
    • Navy SEAL Survival Kit
  • Your Money
    • Coronavirus Infects Stock Market
    • Looking for a Better America
    • You Invest, They Win
    • Where to Keep Your Cash
    • Paris
    • How to Buy a Boat
    • Dead or Alive? The Future of Long-Term Investing
    • Is Vanguard too Big?
    • Cryptocosm and Life After Google
    • The Last Intelligence Report
    • The Truth Behind the S&P 500
    • RAGE Gauge
    • How Many “Retirees” Will Keep Working?
    • Your Retirement Life
    • You’ll Love This if You’re Dreaming of an Active Retirement Life
  • Weapons
    • Self Defense
    • Every Family Should Own at Least One Shotgun: Here Are Three
  • About Me
    • Preparing for Times Like These
    • My Videos/Pics
    • Music
      • RIP Neil Peart: You Will Always Be Remembered as a “Modern-Day Warrior”
    • Your Survival Guy: Make Your Bed and The Hero Code
  • You
    • Our Cabin on Kodiak, Alaska
    • If You Are in Pain, this May Help. It Helped Me.
    • How to Save for a Grandchild
    • FIRE! Financial Independence, Retire Early
    • Compound Interest
    • Arithmetic of Portfolio Losses
    • Maximum Portfolio Withdrawal Rate
    • An Efficient Frontier
    • Retirement Compounders
    • Counterbalanced Total Returns
  • Survive & Thrive
    • May 2022
    • April 2022
    • March 2022
    • February 2022
    • January 2022
    • December 2021
    • November 2021
    • October 2021
    • September 2021
    • August 2021
    • July 2021
    • June 2021
    • May 2021
    • April 2021
    • March 2021
    • February 2021
    • January 2021
    • December 2020
    • November 2020
    • October 2020
    • September 2020
    • August 2020
    • July 2020
    • June 2020
    • May 2020
    • April 2020
    • March 2020
    • February 2020
    • January 2020
    • December 2019
    • November 2019
    • October 2019
    • September 2019
    • August 2019
    • July 2019
    • June 2019
    • May 2019
    • April 2019
    • March 2019
    • February 2019
    • January 2019
    • December 2018
    • November 2018
    • October 2018
    • September 2018
    • August 2018
    • July 2018
    • June 2018
    • May 2018
    • April 2018
    • March 2018
    • February 2018
    • Welcome

CHAOS: Don’t Sacrifice an Entire Retirement with This Mistake

May 2, 2022 By E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy

By Krakenimages.com @ Shutterstock.com

You know from here, here, and here that saving for retirement is easier said than done. When should you secure your finances and move to a more defensive stance? When do you meet with a planner and talk about income needs? Are you on the right path right now in the middle of the chaos? What happens when Nasdaq craters by 20% in the first four months of the year? This is all real-life stuff. We’re all living it in real-time.

When it comes to a return on your savings, I want you to be laser-focused on the return of your savings. Too many investors talk about buying low and selling high (easier said than done). Listen, the buying’s easy. It’s the selling that’s a whole other matter. When do you get back in? You’re talking about serious stuff. The idea of outliving your money is scary. You don’t want that idea to turn into reality for you.

As you know from here, the stock market can stay down for a long, long time. Take 1965 through 1981, when stock prices were basically flat for 16 years. That’s an entire retirement for many, and when you consider the toll of inflation today, it’s a real ugly situation. Take a look at this piece from Arthur Laffer and Stephen Moore in The Wall Street Journal:

What about the stock market and Americans’ wealth? Mr. Laffer’s warning of a bear market turned out to be spot on. As the nearby chart shows, the Dow Jones Industrial Average briefly climbed above 1000 in the mid-’60s and then bottomed out at 777 in the summer of 1982—a 22% reduction in stock values in nominal terms.

But investors, like workers, care about their real return. Adjusted for inflation, the industrial average (and the S&P 500) fell during that period by more than 70%—the worst 15-year stock performance since the crash of 1929. President Ronald Reagan and Fed Chairman Paul Volcker had to sweat the 11% inflation out of the system through a return to a stable-dollar regime along with supply-side tax cuts that encouraged the production of more goods and services. A bull market ensued, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising to more than 30000 between 1982 and 2022. Over that 40-year period inflation averaged a benign 3%—until the arrival of President Biden and the Modern Monetary Theory crowd.

Your key is to make sure you’re paid to be invested in the form of dividends and dividend increases. Don’t live and die by stock prices. This stock market’s a casino; just ask Buffett and Munger. Instead, focus on being an investor. Investors get paid. Investors seek out solid businesses with cash flow.

Action Line: If investors realized how devastating inflation can be—it is the silent killer—then I think a lot more would get some dividend religion. Isn’t it time you did? If you’re with me, let’s talk.

The following two tabs change content below.
  • Bio
  • Latest Posts
My Twitter profileMy Facebook profileMy Instagram profile

E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy

E.J. Smith is Founder of YourSurvivalGuy.com, Managing Director at Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd., a Managing Editor of Richardcyoung.com, and Editor-in-Chief of Youngresearch.com. His focus at all times is on preparing clients and readers for “Times Like These.” E.J. graduated from Babson College in Wellesley, Massachusetts, with a B.S. in finance and investments. In 1995, E.J. began his investment career at Fidelity Investments in Boston before joining Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. in 1998. E.J. has trained at Sig Sauer Academy in Epping, NH. His first drum set was a 5-piece Slingerland with Zilldjians. He grew-up worshiping Neil Peart (RIP) of the band Rush, and loves the song Tom Sawyer—the name of his family’s boat, a Grady-White Canyon 306. He grew up in Mattapoisett, MA, an idyllic small town on the water near Cape Cod. He spends time in Newport, RI and Bartlett, NH—both as far away from Wall Street as one could mentally get. The Newport office is on a quiet, tree lined street not far from the harbor and the log cabin in Bartlett, NH, the “Live Free or Die” state, sits on the edge of the White Mountain National Forest. He enjoys spending time in Key West and Paris. Please get in touch with E.J. at ejsmith@yoursurvivalguy.com
My Twitter profileMy Facebook profileMy Instagram profile

Latest posts by E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy (see all)

  • BE VIGILANT: The Rats Are Scurrying in These Rough Markets - May 17, 2022
  • Young Americans Fall in Love with Farming, Again - May 17, 2022
  • Your Survival Guy: “Sell in May, Buy After Labor Day?” - May 16, 2022
  • Is Your Financial Advisor Hiding the Truth About ESG? - May 13, 2022
  • CRYPTO: Has the Fire Gone Out? - May 13, 2022

If you enjoyed this post, email it to a friend:

  • Email
  • Print
  • Facebook
  • LinkedIn
  • Twitter
  • WhatsApp

Related Posts

Money 101

Trending

  • CHAOS: Don’t Sacrifice an Entire Retirement with This Mistake
  • ESG Is Another Way to Attack Conservative Principles
  • LOOKING FOR LIBERTY: Retirees Revive Rural America
  • You Can Do Better than Mutual Funds and ETFs with Your Cash
  • Biden Admin ALREADY Distancing Itself from Controversial Disinformation Czar
  • Your Survival Guy: Make Your Bed and The Hero Code
  • MARKET CHAOS: This May Take Time, Here’s How to Prepare
  • PANOPTICON: The Deep State's Expanded Civilian Surveillance
  • RAGE GAUGE: INVESTOR CARNAGE—Losing Control of Your Money
  • Joe Biden is Weaponizing Your 401(k) Against You

Must Reads

  • Your Job as an Investor Is Not What You Think
  • Americans Fleeing High Tax States for Growth Corridors
  • BIDEN-FLATION: Here’s Why Prices Are Up At Your Favorite Restaurant
  • Tom Brady Is Proof You Shouldn’t Retire if You Still Love Your Work
  • Your Survival Guy’s Fishing Stories: From Key West to Newport
  • GAME ON! Lessons from Street Hockey on Baker Lane
  • PREPPING: You Don’t Have to Save the World in a Weekend
  • Parents Are the New Tea Party. Bad Schools Are the New High Taxes.
  • FIRE AND ICE: Defeat the Cold by Stocking Firewood
  • CRIME WAVE: A Top Cop Shouldn’t Have to Ask His City for This
Only if You’re Serious
See Who's Missing the Boat
Key West Summer Camp in March
How Can You Save Money for Your Grandchild
Your Survival Guy's Fishing Stories
Money 101
Pandemic Creates Virtual Panopticon
Emergency Water Storage
Find Freedom in America
Second Amendment
Great Reset
Financial Independence, Retire Early
Richard  Young Reports
How You Can Save Money for Your Grandchild
Why Fidelity is Number One
The Best States for Survival
You Invest, They Win
Escape the City
Why Vanguard is Too Big for YOU
Island Life

Copyright © 2022 | Terms & Conditions

loading Cancel
Post was not sent - check your email addresses!
Email check failed, please try again
Sorry, your blog cannot share posts by email.