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Is the Ammo Shortage Almost Over?

June 24, 2021 By E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy

By Stepan Kapl @ Shutterstock.com

This isn’t the first ammunition shortage Your Survival Guy has encountered. Back in 2013 Americans were battling efforts at major gun control, and buying up ammo fast in preparation for failure.

In 2020, Americans were buying guns and ammunition at a rapid pace, emptying shelves in gun stores while Democrats prepared a severe crackdown on law-abiding gun owners. The run on guns wasn’t helped by governors abusing their COVID-19 response powers to limit gun sales.

It appears now that the rapid pace of ammunition and firearms sales that has been kept up for a year now might be slowing a little. Guy Sagi reports for American Rifleman:

Firearm sales in May, at least those reflected in the number of FBI NICS checks performed for a transfer, came in at roughly 1.4 million, according to an estimated from Small Arms Analytics & Forecasting (SAAF). The figure represents a 0.3 million drop in purchases when compared to the same month in 2020.

It doesn’t come as a surprise to most analysts. Last year’s COVID-19 outbreak, urban unrest and newfound interest in home defense drove a record-setting number of people to become first-time gun owners during the same period.

The news doesn’t necessarily ease the concerns of longtime enthusiasts who are still struggling to find ammunition on the shelves or particular guns in FFL inventories. Demand for guns, ammo and gear is still at a scalding pace. “The May 2021 number of about 1.4 million firearms is the second monthly decline recorded in the first five months of 2021,” noted SAAF Chief Economist Jurgen Brauer. “Nonetheless, the overall firearms sales pace thus far this year clocks in at nearly 9.2 million units compared to 8.7 million units for January to May 2020.”

That’s half a million more guns no longer in inventory and new owners needing cartridges to feed them. Retailers continue to feel that crunch. On May 27, Anthony Colonna, manager of Article II Gun Shop & Range in Lombard, Ill., told CBS Chicago, “I can’t keep stuff on the shelf long enough…It’s almost like the vultures on the wire. They’re sitting there looking at us. They’ve got something and they swoop down and take it. Doesn’t last very long.”

Some of the most popular cartridges are remaining in stock for short periods at other outlets, however. The purchasing manager at ammo retailer Wideners.com told AmericanRifleman.org last week that, “From what we’ve seen, manufacturers are able to deliver products within reasonable timelines. However, once we list the products online for sale, they are gone from our inventory very quickly. In recent weeks, we’ve been able to keep popular calibers like 9 mm, .223 Rem., and .45 ACP in stock for longer periods of time.”

“That being said, it is still very difficult to source, or order bullet types other than FMJ in those calibers. Customers looking for specific bullet types, or less-common calibers will need to remain patient until manufacturers catch up with demand in the market.” He added, “We’ve never been a company that’s comfortable with taking orders for products that we don’t physically have in stock. We do however routinely place backorders with manufacturers on their products. It’s safe to say we currently have more products on backorder from manufacturers than we have with products that are in stock”

If you’re a target shooter who doesn’t love the idea of spending $1/shot at the range, this is great news.

Action Line: Whether prices are up, or down, with Democrats intent on limiting your gun rights, it’s always a good time to get your guns and your training now.

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E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy

E.J. Smith is Founder of YourSurvivalGuy.com, Managing Director at Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd., a Managing Editor of Richardcyoung.com, and Editor-in-Chief of Youngresearch.com. His focus at all times is on preparing clients and readers for “Times Like These.” E.J. graduated from Babson College in Wellesley, Massachusetts, with a B.S. in finance and investments. In 1995, E.J. began his investment career at Fidelity Investments in Boston before joining Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. in 1998. E.J. has trained at Sig Sauer Academy in Epping, NH. His first drum set was a 5-piece Slingerland with Zilldjians. He grew-up worshiping Neil Peart (RIP) of the band Rush, and loves the song Tom Sawyer—the name of his family’s boat, a Grady-White Canyon 306. He grew up in Mattapoisett, MA, an idyllic small town on the water near Cape Cod. He spends time in Newport, RI and Bartlett, NH—both as far away from Wall Street as one could mentally get. The Newport office is on a quiet, tree lined street not far from the harbor and the log cabin in Bartlett, NH, the “Live Free or Die” state, sits on the edge of the White Mountain National Forest. He enjoys spending time in Key West and Paris. Please get in touch with E.J. at ejsmith@yoursurvivalguy.com
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