At the recent Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting, Warren Buffett shared some of his knowledge on investments. Taylor Locke of CNBC reports: Buffett warned against investing in individual stocks, as “I do not think the average person can pick stocks,” he said. “I would like particularly new entrants to the stock market to ponder just a bit before they try and do 30 or 40 trades a day in order to profit from what looks like a very easy game,” Buffett said. To illustrate the difficulty of achieving success when stock-picking, Buffett first shared a list of 20 stocks with the largest … [Read more...]
You Invest, They Win
The founder of the largest hedge fund in the universe, Ray Dalio, tweeted this from Burning Man:
Just back from Burning Man. Reminds me of Woodstock with better art (installations) and less good music. What a great vibe and what amazing creativity!
Photo is with my pal and coworker Jeff Taylor at his great music camp Root Society. If you go next year, 1-5am is best.
Are these the guys you want running your money? You invest, they win. But hey, it’s not about the money. It’s about saving the planet man.
Because if it’s about the money (Dalio has a personal net worth of $19 billion) then this hedge fund lost to a boring Vanguard fund that uses a conventional mix of 60% stocks and 40% bonds.
The article doesn’t come out and name the fund, but perhaps you, as a long-time reader of our websites, know the name: Vanguard Wellington.
You might also know what Vanguard founder, the late, great, Jack Bogle, meant when he said: “The grim irony of investing is that we investors as a group not only don’t get what we pay for, we get precisely what we don’t pay for.”
The captains of the investing universe are living their “best life” at whose expense?
Yours, of course. You invest, they win. Read more below.
Stocks: S&P 500 Hit 25 Records this Year
You may have noticed the food and beverage industry needs workers. Like, right now. You can expand that out to most businesses in the service industry. Your Survival Guy will place the blame on big government unemployment checks and on the lockdowns freaking people out. Case in point, we escaped to the city this weekend to meet friends, and when the sun went down, it turned into a ghost town. No taxis, no Uber, which is basically operating with on-and-off strikes. Why? Because the governor isn’t allowing them to charge higher prices when demand surges. According to him, the city’s still in a … [Read more...]
Sell in May?/911 Emergencies/Fidelity #1/Cryptos/Stocks
Who's got your back in the world of finance when the going gets tough? And some other thoughts. When Georgia changed its voting laws, and over 100 CEOs and business leaders signed a letter in protest, did they even read the law? File this under my "You Invest, They Win." Are you surprised to see BlackRock CEO Larry Fink or Vanguard? You can check out the list below. Sell in May go away? Has there been a better time to be a seller of real estate? 2006 comes to mind. If you're a buyer, stay off the beaten path. Here's Your Survival Guy's tip of the day. Keep a chunk of your stock … [Read more...]
World’s Largest Asset Manager Is Using Your Money for Everything But Profit
BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, is run by Chairman and CEO Larry Fink. Fink has decided that with the power of his position, he's going to force companies to support his political goals. Is this really who you want running your money? He's acting like it's his money, not yours. Pay attention to what's going on here. Bloomberg's Erik Schatzker and Annie Massa report: If BlackRock Inc.’s Larry Fink ever had second thoughts about injecting his voice into such weighty issues as climate change and voting rights, he doesn’t anymore. “I’ve been very loud at what I’m saying and … [Read more...]
The Fallout from Archegos Capital Management and More
What risks do certain "family" offices pose to outside investors, considering most, if not all, of the money is the "family’s?” Well, as it turns out, quite a bit. The most recent one making headlines is Archegos, where the family office of Bill Hwang burned banks to the tune of $10 billion. The WSJ reports, the losses are felt far and wide, not just at his dinner table. The battering to Wall Street banks from Archegos Capital Management topped $10 billion after UBS Group AG and Nomura Holdings, Inc. reported fresh hits caused by the fund’s collapse. Archegos, the family office of Bill … [Read more...]
Timeless Wisdom from Vanguard Founder Jack Bogle
With few guarantees in the investment world, here’s one: Avoid companies growing their client base through acquisitions. It’s happening all the time, thanks to consolidation within the industry. But bigger isn’t better, especially when it comes to knowing your customers. Legendary investor and Vanguard founder Jack Bogle spoke about this when he was alive, and I’ve never forgotten it. What Bogle was referring to was the relationship between an investor and an advisor. But that sacred bond was muddled when a bigger company acquired a smaller one simply by writing a big check. Bogle understood … [Read more...]
Where Are We With This Stock Market? Well…
When legendary Dow Theorist Richard Russell was still alive, he wrote about the three phases of a bull stock market. He’d write to his valued readers that you know you’re in the third phase when everyone’s talking about stocks (or dogecoin, or bitcoin, etc.). The third phase of a bull market is full of FOMOs—buyers with a “fear of missing out” on the next best thing, like lemmings jumping off a cliff. The third phase is crazy, fueled by emotion, with a narrative that goes something like this: It’s different this time. Well, yes, every day is different. And there are plenty of stories telling … [Read more...]
When Stocks Drop by 33.9%, 49.1%, or Even 56.8%
There’s a time when you’re most vulnerable as an investor. It’s not when you’re knee-deep in work, with retirement waaay off in the distance. It’s when, as you dream about retirement, you look at your statement and do some mental math: when can I retire? You realize, hmmm, I’ve got some money, but I need “X” dollars to retire. I need to make “X” percent on my portfolio to get there. Now, with this dream in mind and a portfolio full of stocks, your palms get a little sweaty when the market drops by 800 points or so. You’re paying a little closer attention to the down days. Maybe a little too … [Read more...]
What Is Your Purchasing Power Going to Be?
What is purchasing power? Well, if you bought your house in the 60s or 70s, you know exactly what it’s not today—it’s not power. It’s more like weakness. Take a look at the median income and median real estate sales through the years, and you tell me what’s happened to purchasing power (weakness). Remember, the “median” eliminates the big outliers that can skew the average. Median is the middle number. For example, in a sample of 30 houses, the 15th house is the median. You can see on the chart that from 1963 on, the growth of the median price of a house has outpaced the growth of the … [Read more...]
There Are Plenty of Ways to Invest in This Market
You have plenty of ways to invest in this market if you’re A) dividend-centric (I am) and/or B) looking for a proxy to some of your bonds. Take a look at the charts below and understand what’s happening in the market today. Stocks by Dividend Decile Here you see a breakdown of stocks by dividend yield decile. The 8th Decile, not the tenth, had the better performance from 1975-2020. Caitlin McCabe reports at The Wall Street Journal on today's bull market: A greater number of stocks have been propelling the U.S. market higher lately, a signal that—if history is any … [Read more...]
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